Match: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians (Match 13, IPL 2026)
Venue: Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati
Toss Time: 7:00 PM IST (Match starts at 7:30 PM IST)
Date: April 7, 2026
The toss in IPL can often decide the fate of the match – especially at a venue like Barsapara where conditions change rapidly. In this article, we predict who will win the toss between RR and MI, what the captain will choose, and how it impacts the game.
Toss Timing & Where to Watch
- Toss Time: 7:00 PM IST (sharp)
- Live Telecast: Star Sports 1, Star Sports 2, Star Sports 1 Hindi
- Live Streaming: JioHotstar
Recent Toss Record (RR vs MI)
| Team | Last 5 Matches (Toss Wins) |
|---|---|
| Mumbai Indians (MI) | Won 3 out of 5 tosses vs RR |
| Rajasthan Royals (RR) | Won 2 out of 5 tosses vs MI |
Trend: MI has a slight edge in toss wins against RR in recent meetings.
Barsapara Toss History (IPL)
Across 7 IPL matches played at Barsapara Cricket Stadium:
| Teams Winning Toss | Chose to Bowl First | Chose to Bat First |
|---|---|---|
| 7 matches | 6 times (86%) | 1 time (14%) |
The overwhelming trend is to bowl first at this venue. Captains prefer chasing because of evening dew and the pitch getting easier under lights.
Pitch & Dew Factor – Why Toss Matters So Much
- Early moisture: In the first 3-4 overs, pacers get significant seam movement and carry. The last match here saw CSK bowled out for 127.
- Middle overs: Pitch settles down, stroke play becomes easier.
- Dew factor: Light to moderate dew expected after 9:00 PM IST. This makes gripping the ball difficult for spinners and pacers in the second innings.
- Stat: Teams losing the toss have actually won 57.14% of matches here – meaning conditions matter more than the toss itself. But still, captains prefer to chase…
Our Toss Prediction
Who will win the toss?
Mumbai Indians (MI) – based on their recent toss record against RR (3/5 wins) and the fact that Rohit Sharma has been lucky with coin flips this season.
What will they choose?
BOWL FIRST – because 6 out of 7 captains at Barsapara have chosen to field. Dew and chasing advantage make this the obvious call.
If MI wins toss: They will bowl first. Their target will be to restrict RR under 160.
If RR wins toss: They will also bowl first (same logic). Riyan Parag is unlikely to bat first given the conditions.
Toss Impact on Match Winner
| Scenario | Win Probability | |
|---|---|---|
| MI wins toss & bowls first | MI: 60% | RR: 40% |
| RR wins toss & bowls first | RR: 65% | MI: 35% |
| Any team bats first | Chasing team gets advantage (dew) |
Key takeaway: The toss winner will likely choose to bowl. But even if they lose the toss, chasing is still favorable due to dew.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q1: What time is the toss for RR vs MI?
A: 7:00 PM IST, April 7, 2026.
Q2: Who is likely to win the toss?
A: Mumbai Indians (based on recent record and luck factor).
Q3: What will the captain choose after winning toss?
A: Bowl first – dew and pitch conditions favor chasing.
Q4: Does the toss really matter at Barsapara?
A: Teams losing the toss have won 57% matches here, so it’s not decisive, but captains still prefer to chase.
Q5: Where can I watch the toss live?
A: Star Sports channels or JioHotstar.
Conclusion
Our prediction is clear: Mumbai Indians will win the toss and choose to bowl first. The conditions at Barsapara – early seam movement followed by dew – heavily favor the chasing side. Even if RR wins the toss, they will also bowl first. The real battle begins after the coin flip.
Come back after toss for our updated playing XI and match prediction!
What’s your toss prediction? Comment below. 👇
